No more Texas governors for president

“Next time I tell you someone from Texas should not be president of the United States, please pay attention.” - Molly Ivins
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texasredistricting:

Back in October 2012, the University of Texas and Texas Tribune included a question in a poll to gauge Texans views of section 5.

The question got asked again in a February poll, but this time it got asked two ways.  

One question asked whether “some states” with a history of discrimination should be required to have changes to voting-related laws approved by the federal government (which is how the question in the October poll also got asked).  

But poll respondents also got a second variant of the question this time which asked if “Texas” because of its history of discrimination should be required to have changes to voting-related laws approved by the federal government.

That variant in wording shifted results for Democrats, Republicans, and independents.

When asked about “some states” without specifying Texas, 75% of Democrats favored section 5 review as did 17% of Republicans and 40% of independents.

But mention “Texas,” and Democratic support for section 5 goes to 80%, while Republican support goes to 10% (minus 7) and support from independents does to 27% (minus 13).  Republican opposition, likewise, goes from 69% to 80%.

Here’s the full breakdown.

texasredistricting:

Yes, this got polled back in October 2012 by the University of Texas.

Overall, 51% of Texans in the poll favor continuation of section 5 and 36% oppose.  

As you might expect, that breaks down on party lines to 81% of Democrats in favor of the statute vs. 24% of Republicans.

On ethnicity lines, the poll showed support for section 5 from 42% of Anglos, 83% of African-Americans, and 64% of Hispanics.

The poll summary slides here.  The poll had a margin of error of +/- 3.46%.

Like other minority groups, an overwhelming majority of Asian-American voters supported President Obama in his reelection. National exit polls estimated that 73 percent of Asian-Americans voted blue in November, an 11-percentage-point jump from 2008.

To better understand the complex racial group’s political leanings, the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund conducted an in-depth exit poll of 9,096 Asian-American voters from 14 states and the District of Columbia. What they found was that the cohort varied widely based on ethnicity and geographic location.

demnewswire:

In U.S., Democrats Re-Establish Lead in Party Affiliation

A new Gallup poll released today shows Democrats have taken the lead in Party Identification as we start 2013. The poll showed 47 percent of Americans identified as Democrats, while 42 percent identified as Republicans.

  • Gallup wrote: “The new Democratic advantage is mostly due to an increased proportion of Democratic-leaning independents and a decreased proportion of Republican-leaning independents.”

A poll from PPP yesterday showed that the Tea Party Republicans have driven approval of their Congress to historic lows of 9 percent.

  • The poll found this Tea Party Republican Congress was less popular than root canals, head lice, colonoscopies, traffic jams, cockroaches and even Donald Trump.

The recent Washington Post/ABC poll showed the damage to House Republicans after they nearly sent America’s economy over the fiscal cliff. Only thirty percent of registered voters approve of Speaker Boehner in the fiscal cliff negotiations, while 56 percent disapprove.

quickhits:

Historic number of women sworn in as Senators.

ABC News:

Today the Senate will make history, swearing in a record-breaking 20 female senators — four Republicans and 16 Democrats — in office.

[…]

“I can’t tell you the joy that I feel in my heart to look at these 20 gifted and talented women from two different parties, different zip codes to fill this room,” Sen. Barbara Mikulksi, D-Md., said while surrounded by the group of women senators. “In all of American history only 16 women had served. Now there are 20 of us.”

Meanwhile, in Crazytown:

The Hill:

A conservative women’s group sees an historic number of women being sworn into the Senate on Thursday as a negative development.

Independent Women’s Forum Executive Director Sabrina Schaeffer said in a statement that the increase in women, because they are mostly Democratic women, will be harmful for government.

“While a lot is being made about the record number of women joining the Senate, the reality is the majority of these women are Democrats – 16 of the 20 – and as a result we are likely to see higher taxes, bigger government, and less freedom,” she said.

Ever think there might be a reason why 16 of the 20 are Democrats? Keep waging that War on Women, conservatives. It’s working out so well for you.

lauraolin:

One of the biggest progressive political technology firms, Nationbuilder, has announced they’re going to take on GOP clients, justifying it as a way to further small-d democracy.

“As someone who fought in the political trenches I realized the most important thing wasn’t fighting the individual political battle but changing the whole political system,” [Nationbuilder co-founder Joe] Green said. “We believe America is a better place when everyone has the power to run a grass-roots campaign.”

This would be a little less enraging if it weren’t window dressing for the bare fact that Nationbuilder has realized that there’s a lot of money to be made from GOP campaign clients—especially now that the very public and embarrassing meltdown of the 2012 Romney tech and data operation means that the other side is going to look to ours for solutions.

The question now is how many Democrats will sell out everything we’ve worked for in pursuit of profit. And that’s their right. This is America: You have the liberty to be as much of a principle-free asshole as you want. I would just hope for better from us.

December 10, 2012 

MEDIA ADVISORY
FOR IMMEDIATE DISTRIBUTION                                      
 

PRELIMINARY POST-ELECTION POLL RESULTS OF ASIAN AMERICAN VOTERS TO BE RELEASED IN WEBINAR CO-HOSTED BY APIAVOTE

 

Early findings show record AAPI voter turnout; with the AAPI vote contributing a net 1.4 million votes to President Obama’s total popular vote margin of victory


Issues driving the AAPI vote included immigration, racial discrimination, health and environment
 


WASHINGTON—Asian and Pacific Islander American Vote (APIAVote) will co-host a webinar with Asian American Justice Center and the National Asian American Survey (NAAS) to discuss the preliminary findings of a  post-election poll of Asian American voters. Conducted in nine different Asian languages, in addition to English and Spanish, this poll is the most comprehensive of its kind and demonstrates the strength, breadth and depth of AAPI voters, 71 percent of whom voted for President Barack Obama.

 
The webinar will be held on Wednesday, December 12, at 2 p.m. EST, and feature discussion and Q&A by Mee Moua, AAJC’s president and executive director, Christine Chen, APIAVote’s executive director, and Karthick Ramakrishnan, National Asian American Survey’s director.
 

Please register at https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7939506740883130368 for instructions on how to join the webinar. For an embargoed copy of the report, please email comrequests@advancingequality.org or call Kimberly Goulart at (202) 499-7027, x103. 
 

This preliminary report, “Behind the Numbers: Post-Election Survey of Asian American Voters in 2012,” includes 2,785 interviews and builds on pre-election polls conducted by AAJC, APIA Vote and NAAS that showed an increase in voter enthusiasm, high levels of support for key issues such as healthcare, education and the economy, and an unprecedented number of undecided voters within the Asian American community. 

 
A full report, with detailed findings and analysis based on 7,000 interviews and information on national origin groups and Pacific Islanders, will be released in early 2013.
The preliminary post-election poll report’s key findings include: 
  • The Asian American electorate has been steadily growing with each presidential election and is projected to be close to 3% of all votes cast in the 2012 election.  (pages 3-4)
  • 71% of Asian Americans voters in November 2012 cast their ballot for President Barack Obama, and 28% voted for Governor Mitt Romney. (page 5)
  • We estimate that about 3.2 million Asian Americans cast ballots in November 2012, with about 2.3 million for Barack Obama and 900,000 thousand for Mitt Romney.  (page 5)
  • Obama’s total popular vote margin of victory is estimated at 4.7 million. The AAPI vote contributed a net 1.4 million votes to this margin. Without the AAPI vote, Obama’s popular vote margin would have been 3.3 million.  (page 5)
  • In 2012, there was a significant increase in voter mobilization efforts by community organizations; still, most Asian American voters (65%) report that they received no contact about the election. (page 7)
  • Among those who were contacted by political parties, contact by Democrats was more frequent than contact by Republicans. (page 7)
  • On issues relevant to Asian American voters, the strongest gaps in support for Obama over Romney were on issues of immigration, racial discrimination, health and environment.  The smallest gap was on national security issues. (page 9)
  • Nearly one half of Asian American registered voters remain independent or undecided with respect to their party identification, pointing to the possibility that many remain open to persuasion and outreach in future elections. (pages 9-10)

Media Contact: Kimberly Goulart, (202) 499-7027, x103, comrequests@advancingequality.org
 

robertreich:

UNDERSTANDING THE FISCAL CLIFF (IN 2 MINUTES 30 SECONDS)

Democrats, here are eight principles to guide you in the coming showdown over the fiscal cliff:

ONE: HOLD YOUR GROUND. The wealthy have to pay their fair share of taxes. That’s what the election was all about, and we won. It’s only fair they pay more. They’re taking home record share of national income and wealth, and have lowest effective tax rate in living memory.

TWO: NO DEAL IS BETTER THAN A BAD DEAL. You’re in a strong bargaining position. If you do nothing, the Bush tax cuts automatically expire in January, and we go back to rates during Clinton administration. Which isn’t such a bad thing. As I recall we had a pretty good economy during the Clinton years.

THREE: MAKE REPUBLICANS VOTE ON EXTENDING THE TAX CUTS JUST FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS. After all the Bush tax cuts expire, have Republicans vote on an extending the Bush tax cut just for the middle-class. If they refuse and try to hold those tax cuts hostage to tax cuts for the wealthy, it will show whose side they’re on. They’ll pay the price in 2014.

FOUR: DEMAND HIGHER TAX RATES ON WEALTHY, NOT JUST LIMITS ON DEDUCTIONS. Don’t fall for Republican offers to limit some tax deductions on the wealthy.  Demand we go back to higher tax rates on the wealthy and eliminate their unfair tax loopholes, so they truly start paying their fair share.

FIVE: DON’T CUT SAFETY NETS. Don’t sacrifice Medicare or Social Security, or programs for the poor. Americans depend on these safety nets and can’t afford any benefit cuts.

SIX: DON’T CUT INVESTMENTS IN OUR FUTURE PRODUCTIVITY. Education, basic R&D, and infrastructure aren’t spending; they’re investments in our future prosperity. If the return on these investments is greater than the cost, they ought to be made, period.

SEVEN: CUT SPENDING ON MILITARY AND CORPORATE WELFARE. You want to cut, cut spending on the military — which now exceeds the military spending of the next 13 largest military spenders in the world combined. And cut corporate welfare — support to agribusiness, oil and gas, Big Pharma, big insurance, and Wall Street.

EIGHT: PUT JOBS BEFORE DEFICIT REDUCTION. Finally, Don’t cut the budget deficit as long as unemployment remains high. Otherwise you’ll cause the economy to contract, making the deficit even larger in proportion. That’s the austerity trap Europe has fallen into. We need to create American prosperity, not European austerity.

Remember: Jobs come first.

 

upwithchris:

If President Obama wants to get anything done in his second term, Democrats in the Senate will have to overcome one major obstacle: the filibuster.

In the last four years, Republicans have used the filibuster to prevent landmark pieces of legislation — such as the DREAM Act, the Paycheck Fairness Act and additional measures to stimulate the economy — from even reaching the floor for debate, let alone a vote. Republicans have shattered previous records for filibuster use, and the share of bills introduced in the Senate that have been passed has reached an all-time low.

“Mitch McConnell has orchestrated a strategy of killing bills in the middle of the night,” Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., a leading advocate of filibuster reform, said in an interview Saturday on Up w/ Chris Hayes. Merkley said the abuse of the filibuster had warped the Senate, making it a far less productive place than it has been for most of its history. “The Senate is completely different today. It’s paralyzed and broken today in a way no one could have envisioned a couple of decades ago.”

Read the rest of the story here.

You can exclude blacks, Latinos, surplus Democrats, and people who earn less than $50,000 from your target groups and your poll analysis. But you can’t exclude them from the election.
William Saletan on the brags of Romney’s advisers (via bostonreview)

Sugar Bo and Gingerbread White House!!!

quickhits:

Stories to Watch: 11/29/12.

The state of Washington will issue gender-neutral marriage licenses. Not surprisingly, Fox News reports it as practically the end of the freakin’ world.


The UN recognizes Palestine as a state.


Mitt Romney visits the White House for a post-election lunch. Everything went very sportsmanlike until Pres. Obama could no longer resist the urge to spike a football in Mittens’ mac and cheese. Passersby could hear, “You like that? That’s the kitchen’s ‘Sucks to be you’ special! I have it every day, because I live here — I’m the president!


John Boehner is so supremely disappointed that Democrats aren’t serious about cutting Medicare that he just may turn on the waterworks again. Ezra Klein notes that Boehner is the unserious one, since “Republicans are refusing to name their Medicare cuts” and are instead just complaining. Klein thinks the GOP can’t get specific, in part, because they only had one plan — privatization — and that was shot down by the election. I think it’s simpler; Boehner’s demanding the Democrats take the blame for unpopular cuts. The White House should demand specifics from the Orange One and, when he fails to come up with any, kindly invite him to STFU.


McJobs are jobs — and they deserve a union.


The Weaselliest Dodge of the Day award goes to Republican Rep. Chris Gibson of New York. Gibson says he’s off the hook for Grover Norquist’s anti-tax pledge because he signed it when he was representing New York’s 20th congressional district. There’s since been redistricting and it’s been changed to the 19th — totally different. Points for doing the right thing, but a big deduction for being so ridiculously dishonest about it.


An association with Donald Trump seems to be dragging Macy’s down in public opinion.


One good cop.


Finally, is it too early for 2012 in review?


[photo via AP]

Do we want to? We won without them.

burntorangereport:

One of the greatest ironies of the 2012 election is that some who claimed to be the Constitution’s greatest defenders were so unhappy with our Republic’s choice for President they are now calling for dissolving the Union altogether.

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